Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.032236 0.037556 0.043413 0.050329 0.058263 0.067073 0.077584
2025-09-07 0.025323 0.032525 0.041182 0.052315 0.066212 0.082941 0.104560
2025-09-14 0.019796 0.027710 0.037983 0.052210 0.071298 0.095908 0.129911
2025-09-21 0.015463 0.023393 0.034423 0.050733 0.074052 0.105971 0.152696
2025-09-28 0.012573 0.020402 0.031988 0.050151 0.077619 0.117234 0.178211
2025-10-05 0.011203 0.019337 0.032048 0.053016 0.086299 0.136505 0.217166
2025-10-12 0.009901 0.018105 0.031588 0.054897 0.093575 0.154349 0.255844
2025-10-19 0.008251 0.015968 0.029290 0.053399 0.095154 0.163386 0.281634
2025-10-26 0.007079 0.014445 0.027760 0.052893 0.098171 0.174859 0.312312
2025-11-02 0.005967 0.012824 0.025784 0.051268 0.098951 0.182531 0.337223
2025-11-09 0.005096 0.011508 0.024154 0.050005 0.100133 0.190871 0.363922
2025-11-16 0.004499 0.010642 0.023249 0.049962 0.103498 0.203312 0.398965
2025-11-23 0.003849 0.009560 0.021777 0.048648 0.104374 0.211482 0.427434
2025-11-30 0.003587 0.009301 0.021980 0.050793 0.112349 0.233828 0.484786
2025-12-07 0.003188 0.008647 0.021227 0.050802 0.115952 0.248058 0.527853
2025-12-14 0.002749 0.007807 0.019926 0.049417 0.116430 0.256085 0.559371
2025-12-21 0.002424 0.007196 0.019057 0.048877 0.118647 0.267824 0.599461
2025-12-28 0.002327 0.007171 0.019592 0.051688 0.128646 0.296754 0.677832
2026-01-04 0.002185 0.006994 0.019721 0.053532 0.136631 0.322096 0.750809
2026-01-11 0.001903 0.006359 0.018580 0.052072 0.136687 0.330110 0.787007
2026-01-18 0.001699 0.005912 0.017861 0.051580 0.138994 0.343326 0.835817
2026-01-25 0.001478 0.005366 0.016785 0.049993 0.138399 0.349834 0.870049
2026-02-01 0.001298 0.004911 0.015888 0.048760 0.138536 0.358022 0.908814